If there is one word we can use to describe the seasons of Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund it would be inconsistent. Both teams blow hot and cold and cannot seem to keep momentum for an extended period of games. But this inconsistency seems to be prevalent on the domestic front. The Champions League is where Atleti and Borussia have shown some semblance of stability, as their continental campaigns have produced some good results and got them to the quarterfinals of the competition.
Atletico Madrid Team News
Diego Simeone’s men have had a good continental campaign overall – they managed to top their group and were undefeated in the Champions League before the Round of 16 first game in Italy. Despite losing 1-0 against Inter, Atletico still managed to eliminate the Italians with penalties. This good form in Europe comes in the middle of a lacklustre domestic performance, where Atleti has managed to win just 3 of their last 8 league games. In the Champions League, Diego Simeone’s team has earned the reputation of tough hosts, and their home performances this season prove that – 3 home wins in the group stage and a draw in the Round of 16. In all of their group-stage home fixtures, Atletico scored at least 2 goals.
Borussia Dortmund Team News
Borussia Dortmund has been as inconsistent in their domestic league as Atletico and even found themselves fifth after a home loss to Stuttgart last weekend. However, their Champions League campaign is where the Black and Yellows have shown consistency. After managing to top arguably the hardest group in the tournament, Dortmund went on to eliminate PSV, although not as convincing as some might have wanted. Still, they have suffered just 1 defeat in the tournament thus far and that came during their very first match against PSG. It is worth noting that Dortmund’s away games in the Champions League have featured a small amount of goals, with just 1 having over 2.5 goals. Moreover, their form in Spain has not been good, as Dortmund have recorded just 3 wins from their last 18 fixtures on Spanish soil.
Head-to-Head-Games
Atletico and Dortmund have met each other a total of 4 times and the head-to-head statistics are even between them with either team winning 2 fixtures. Another common trend is that matches in Spain featured less than 2.5 goals, while the ones in Germany saw over 2.5 goals in them.
Atletico Madrid – Borussia Dortmund Betting Prediction
I do not expect many goals here. In a historical sense, games between Atletico and Borussia in Spain have featured a small amount of goals. Dortmund’s away games in the Champions League this season haven’t seen a big goal tally either. A highly likely scenario is that both teams play more cautiously in the first leg and try to decide it in the second. Both Atletico and Borussia’s games from the round of 16 did not feature many goals. I believe that the trend of goal-shy games will continue here and we will see a game with under 2.5 goals.
Betting Tip: Under 2.5 Goals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet.io
Odds: 1.85
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