Milan and Fiorentina’s UCL took a serious hit in the last several months as both sides find themselves outside of Serie A’s top 7 heading into matchday 31. For Fiorentina, the distance between 4th-placed Bologna is just 5 points, but for Milan it stands at 9. With a direct game between them incoming, one of the 2 teams will likely take another serious blow to their continental ambitions.
AC Milan Team News
Milan enters this all-important clash with Fiorentina coming after a short break from their Coppa Italia first leg semi-final with city rivals Inter. There are some questions that the side might be a bit tired and generally focused on the cup, as the gap between Milan and the UCL spots in Serie A is rather large. Yet, the Rossoneri can look toward generally strong home performances at home in the league for inspiration, as the team has just 1 loss in their last 10 Serie A matches as hosts. What should also be noted is the tendency for Milan to concede regularly but also score. Across the aforementioned 10 home fixtures, the Rossoneri have kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score on just 2 occasions. The team’s 4 most recent home fixtures across all competitions have also seen Milan both score and concede.
Fiorentina Team News
A strong sequence of back-to-back wins against two major contenders for the UCL spots, Atalanta and Juventus, has immensely improved Fiorentina’s chances of landing a top 4 spot. But while those 2 victories, coupled with clean sheets, were indeed impressive, they did come at home for the Violets. Looking at their performances on the road, we can see an entirely different story – 3 losses in their most recent 3 Serie A away fixtures. Two of those losses came with a 2-1 result against Inter and Napoli, with the last loss being a surprise one to Verona. The loss to Verona was also the only one in Fiorentina’s last 8 away fixtures across all competitions in which the team failed to score. In all other cases, the Violets managed to find the net but also conceded.
Head-to-Head-Games
H2H stats lean towards Milan as they have 3 wins in the last 5 encounters with Fiorentina, with the latter having 2. Four of those five games produced goals from both sides as well. At home, Milan has won the last 4 times in which they hosted Fiorentina, while also managing to keep 3 clean sheets in the process.
| Rank | Teams | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goal difference | Points | Current form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AC Milan | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 51 | WWLDW |
| Rank | Teams | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goal difference | Points | Current form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ACF Fiorentina | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 52 | WLWWD |
AC Milan – Atalanta Betting Prediction
This could be the game that either makes or breaks both teams’ bid for UCL football. Milan will want to shorten the gap between themselves and the top 4, while Fiorentina will try to build upon a good sequence of wins against contenders for the top 4, even if their away record shows clear signs of struggles on the road.
Given the magnitude of the game and what a win here could mean for either, I believe that we will see an interesting game, one in which both teams score. H2H stats at the San Siro are not favourable for such an outcome, but the overall results between Milan and Fiorentina tend to support both teams scoring.
Betting Tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes
Bookmaker: Sportsbet.io
Odds: 1.71
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