Serie A’s 23rd round kicks off with a crucial derby at the bottom of the table. Both Parma and Lecce find themselves deeply entrenched in the relegation battle, and either could easily be among the teams facing the drop to Serie B next season. With points proving hard to come by for both sides, these direct encounters could very well be what ultimately determines their fates.
Parma Team News
Parma currently sit above the relegation zone, but only by virtue of a superior goal difference. With 20 points, they are level with teams like Lecce and Verona. Had Parma not conceded twice in stoppage time against Milan in their last outing, they would have been in a much stronger position heading into this crucial six-pointer. That match, however, marked the end of a three-game streak in which Parma was involved in low-scoring affairs. In general, I Ducali’s matches this season have seen a high number of goals. A quick look at their last five home games shows that four of them featured over 2.5 goals.
Lecce Team News
Lecce will make the trip to Parma on the back of two consecutive defeats, during which they conceded four goals. However, their last win came on the road, as they secured a crucial 1-3 victory against Empoli before those back-to-back losses. Despite that, scoring remains a major struggle for Lecce, as they have the lowest goals tally in Serie A with just 15 goals to their name this season. Defensively, things don’t look much better for the Giallorossi, who have conceded 40 goals – making their defense the second-worst in the league, only behind that of Verona.
Head-to-Head-Games
Looking at the recent head-to-heads between Parma and Lecce, it’s clear that the last two meetings have been high-scoring affairs, with over 3.5 goals in each. Draws have also been fairly common between the two, as two of their last five encounters ended in stalemates, and one Coppa Italia match finished level at the end of regular time.
| Rank | Teams | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goal difference | Points | Current form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -14 | 23 | LLLWL |
| Rank | Teams | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goal difference | Points | Current form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | US Lecce | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -25 | 25 | WDDLL |
Parma – Lecce Betting Prediction
Given the stakes for both teams and their desperate need for three points to avoid relegation, my pick is for over 2.5 goals. I believe both Parma and Lecce will go all out in this crucial encounter. Parma’s matches, in particular, have often been high-scoring, and Lecce’s recent games have followed a similar trend. When you factor in all these circumstances, going for goals seems like a solid choice, with plenty of factors lining up to support it.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Bookmaker: Sportsbet.io
Odds: 1.89
Sportsbet.io
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