Italy and Australia face off in the semifinals of the Davis Cup Finals in Malaga, with both teams coming off hard-fought victories in the quarterfinals. Italy is the clear favourite in this tie, boasting a strong singles lineup led by Jannik Sinner, who is in the form of his life and backed by Lorenzo Musetti or Matteo Berrettini. On the other side, Australia’s hopes rest on Alex De Minaur and Thanasi Kokkinakis, with a strong doubles team as a fallback option.
Italy vs Australia Preview
Italy’s team is spearheaded by Jannik Sinner, who has been nearly unstoppable in recent months, dominating every opponent at the ATP Finals and carrying that form into the Davis Cup. Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Berrettini provide solid backup, and both are capable of securing wins in the singles. With their depth and Sinner’s brilliance, Italy enters this tie as heavy favourites.
Australia’s team, led by Alex De Minaur and Thanasi Kokkinakis, is built around resilience and grit. De Minaur is known for his incredible retrieving ability, but he is unlikely to keep up with Sinner’s power and precision. Kokkinakis, while dangerous on his day, lacks consistency and will struggle against Italy’s strong second singles player.
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Italy vs Australia – Match Analysis
Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur:
Sinner holds a significant advantage here, with his aggressive baseline game and strong serve likely to overpower De Minaur’s defensive style. In slower conditions, Sinner’s ability to dictate rallies and finish points efficiently should result in a straightforward win.
Lorenzo Musetti/Matteo Berrettini vs. Thanasi Kokkinakis:
Both Musetti and Berrettini have the skill and temperament to handle Kokkinakis. Musetti’s variety and consistency or Berrettini’s power game should be enough to secure the second singles point, making it unlikely that the tie will go to a deciding doubles match.
Betting Tip – Italy vs Australia
Italy is expected to dominate this tie, with Jannik Sinner leading the charge and the second singles player sealing the deal. Back Italy to win 2-0 at odds of around 3.00, as it is highly likely that they will wrap up the tie in straight matches without needing doubles. Bet early, as the odds may drop closer to match time. Italy looks poised to secure their place in the Davis Cup final.
Betting Tip: Italy to Win 2-0
Betting Odds: 3.00
Bookmaker: Sportsbet.io